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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.27vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.61vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00+10.50vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39+5.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+1.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+0.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.15vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.53+4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.08vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-5.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.23vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-1.34vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.56-0.76vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-8.41vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.72vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.49Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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15.5University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.58Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.66Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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14.24Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.18Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 40.8% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 21.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Casey Brown | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Austin Powers | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.