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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.69vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+10.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.28vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.67vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+0.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+3.48vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.56vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.56+4.39vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.84vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland1.00+2.50vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.98vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-2.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.93vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-8.42vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.53-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.56Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.78Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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11.48University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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5.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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14.39Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.5University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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9.02Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.89Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.25Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Austin Powers | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| Nick Valente | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 19.0% | 40.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.