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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.03vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.53+11.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.47vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.98vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.97vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+0.34vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-0.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.36vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.21+1.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39-1.51vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-7.84vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-2.09vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland1.00-0.30vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.56-2.63vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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14.51Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.07SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.34Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.81Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.3Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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6.16Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.91Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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14.37Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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9.14Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 20.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Joseph Crouse | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 41.3% |
| Casey Brown | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.