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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.69vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.82vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.77vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+1.81vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14+0.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.23vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.59vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.01+1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39-1.54vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.53+0.13vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-5.76vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-3.65vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland1.00-1.31vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.56-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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4.66Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.16Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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14.13Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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9.24Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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12.35Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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14.1Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 9.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Austin Powers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 43.5% |
| Casey Brown | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.