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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+9.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+3.87vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.50vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.29vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+1.23vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+5.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.44vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.78vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47-2.69vs Predicted
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10Villanova University2.04+2.21vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.69+2.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.92vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.72-3.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.37vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.99-3.73vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.71-3.78vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland0.87-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.87Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.16Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.21Villanova University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.28Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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10.36Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.22Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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15.39University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Michael Popp | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.