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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+5.65vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.72+5.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+4.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.36vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-1.81vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-3.33vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+0.65vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71+2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.17vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99-1.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.33vs Predicted
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15Hampton University2.26-3.91vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-2.66vs Predicted
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17Villanova University2.04-4.89vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland0.87-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.99Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.65Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.19Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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11.09Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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13.34Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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12.11Villanova University2.040.0%1st Place
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15.39University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| Michael Popp | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% |
| Peter McMillan | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.