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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.81+3.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.23vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.05+1.62vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.58-0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.02-0.21vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55-3.89vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.27-1.01vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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2.92U. S. Naval Academy2.790.2%1st Place
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3.23Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.62McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University1.580.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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3.11Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.23Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Markarian | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| James Allsopp | 24.3% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 21.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 4.4% |
| Justin Papkee | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 4.5% |
| David Nicol | 22.9% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 34.0% | 20.3% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 15.8% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.