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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+1.67vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+1.31vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.17vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69+5.51vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-1.81vs Predicted
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9Villanova University2.04+2.60vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-2.09vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.99-2.30vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-8.92vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.71-3.46vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland0.87-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.51Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.6Villanova University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.91Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.77Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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6.08Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.54Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.79University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% |
| Sean Golden | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 7.5% |
| Will Holz | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.