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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.11vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.29+7.65vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+3.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78+7.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+3.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.62-1.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68-2.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-7.24vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-5.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.13-1.36vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-3.67vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University0.55-1.61vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.52-2.41vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont0.06-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.86University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.33Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.39Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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15.59McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 12.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 16.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 7.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.