← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.70+3.59vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.29+7.63vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.68+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.62+4.37vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+0.87vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.45+2.87vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.23-0.89vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.79-0.16vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.83+2.11vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-2.84vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.17vs Predicted
-
12McGill University0.52+3.86vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.78+1.63vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College1.52-1.43vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.96-8.00vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University0.55-1.53vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.04-11.26vs Predicted
-
19University of Connecticut1.13-5.23vs Predicted
-
20University of Vermont0.06-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.59Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
-
9.63Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.17Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.37Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
5.87Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.87Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.11Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.84Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
11.11University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
15.86McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
-
14.63University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.57Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
15.47Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.74Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
13.77University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
16.39University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 22.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| Ben Brown | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Amina Brown | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.