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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+3.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+4.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+0.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.62-0.47vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-2.05vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-2.07vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.29-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-1.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.96vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.52-2.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-3.28vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.52-2.50vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont0.06-2.30vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University0.55-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.14Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.93Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.57Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.7University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.5McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.7University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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15.22Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 21.5% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 36.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.