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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+8.84vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+2.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+5.43vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68+4.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.29+4.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83+4.36vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.13+5.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-4.89vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-2.70vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52-0.72vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-7.19vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-0.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.04-10.32vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.06-1.45vs Predicted
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19McGill University0.52-3.42vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire0.78-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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4.63Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.69Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.3Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.28Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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15.31Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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16.55University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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15.58McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.56University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 6.7% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 39.1% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.