← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.52+0.61vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.05+1.57vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.92+1.99vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.52+0.67vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-1.33+0.93vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.81-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Wake Forest University-2.44+1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Tennessee-2.35-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Vanderbilt University-1.74-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61North Carolina State University1.5259.4%1st Place
-
3.57University of North Carolina-0.0512.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of North Carolina-0.925.4%1st Place
-
4.67Clemson University-0.525.7%1st Place
-
5.93Clemson University-1.333.8%1st Place
-
4.87North Carolina State University-0.816.2%1st Place
-
8.09Wake Forest University-2.441.4%1st Place
-
6.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.2%1st Place
-
7.91University of Tennessee-2.351.5%1st Place
-
6.66Vanderbilt University-1.742.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Burdette | 59.4% | 26.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 12.1% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| William Avery | 5.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Bonnie O'Flaherty | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Liam Holder | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Charles Palmer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 36.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Luke Russell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 31.4% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.