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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+7.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+7.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+7.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.00vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.37vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79+0.66vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.50+4.28vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58+1.02vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.19+3.64vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.71-2.65vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.46+1.34vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.42-7.80vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.82-7.29vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-7.90vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.34-1.93vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.23-3.68vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.60-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Old Dominion University1.594.7%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania1.584.2%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.2%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.6014.0%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.6%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.4%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.797.4%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College0.502.5%1st Place
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10.02Hampton University0.583.5%1st Place
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13.64Washington College0.191.2%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.715.1%1st Place
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13.34Princeton University0.461.8%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University2.4213.6%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University1.828.6%1st Place
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7.1Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
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14.07University of Virginia-0.341.6%1st Place
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13.32Drexel University0.231.2%1st Place
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11.81Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 24.1% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.