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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.79+1.78vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.27+4.00vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.81+0.31vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-1.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.58-1.25vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.05-1.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.02-2.23vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
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3.32Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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3.09Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University1.580.1%1st Place
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5.77McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Military Academy1.020.1%1st Place
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8.21Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Allsopp | 27.4% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 16.4% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 20.0% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| David Nicol | 23.7% | 22.4% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Justin Papkee | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 4.3% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 5.2% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.