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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+3.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.79+5.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+5.43vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68+4.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+5.26vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.03vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-6.28vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13+1.12vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.29-4.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-7.51vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.78-2.19vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.52-2.51vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont0.06-2.32vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University0.55-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.43Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.3Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.81University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.49McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.68University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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15.22Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 21.8% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 37.4% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.