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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+5.94vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+10.47vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+3.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+0.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-1.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.29-0.35vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+2.57vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55+1.73vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-6.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-7.01vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.06-1.06vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.52-2.99vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.47Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.57University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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14.73Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.95Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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15.94University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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15.01McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 13.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 19.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 40.6% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 22.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.