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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.68+7.17vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+5.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.29+5.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+2.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+0.74vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78+6.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.76vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-3.68vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-5.21vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52+0.43vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-6.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.62-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.06-0.05vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.52-2.98vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University0.55-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.45Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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14.22University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.43Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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15.95University of Vermont0.060.0%1st Place
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15.02McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.77Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fullerton | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Tedeschi | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 41.1% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 21.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.