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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+5.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+4.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+3.50vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+3.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+0.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-0.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.29+0.44vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-3.44vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-5.11vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.52-2.11vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52+0.02vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-1.02vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-3.57vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University0.12-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.14Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.89Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.89Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.02McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.98Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.43University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.68Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alp Rodopman | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 21.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.