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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+3.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+3.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.62+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72+0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.79vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52+3.15vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-4.17vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.29-1.43vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.99vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-5.54vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-6.24vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52+0.04vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-1.63vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University0.12-1.09vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University0.55-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.23Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.15Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.83Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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15.04McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.37University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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15.91Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.8Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 21.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 39.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.