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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+5.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+5.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+2.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+3.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.73vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.29+2.40vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-2.18vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-5.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.79-6.33vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-4.08vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University0.12-1.69vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University0.55-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.12Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.89Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.95University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.92Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.31Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.47Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 25.1% | 19.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 45.9% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.