← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.74+6.24vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+8.32vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.01+3.33vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.24+1.54vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.08+4.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.24-1.51vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.51+0.26vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.60-1.46vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-2.42vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.21-5.44vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-0.83vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.26-0.72vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.05vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut0.19+0.31vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.58-4.70vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.34vs Predicted
-
18McGill University0.56-3.31vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-1.46-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.24Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.33Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
5.54Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.82Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
5.96University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.49Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.26Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.54Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.56Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.28Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.31University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.3Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
16.66Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
14.69McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
-
18.02Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Oursler | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| James Amaral | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 22.0% | 21.6% | 9.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 34.2% | 21.8% |
| Leslie Beedell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 4.8% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 18.4% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.