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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+3.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75+7.81vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.74+0.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19+6.25vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-3.86vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.26+1.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.46vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.58-1.77vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.51-5.87vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-4.27vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-6.52vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.56-2.48vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.24vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.46-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.0%1st Place
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5.55Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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15.25University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.61Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.23Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.73University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.52McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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16.76Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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18.06Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Oursler | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 8.1% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 33.7% | 21.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.