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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.48+0.89vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.05+0.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.02-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.27+0.01vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.82+0.21vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.81-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.86U. S. Naval Academy2.790.2%1st Place
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3.1Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.89Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.6McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Military Academy1.020.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.21Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.35SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 20.4% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Allsopp | 24.0% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Nicol | 24.1% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Krug | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Emerson Krock | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 6.1% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 36.2% | 19.1% |
| Kenneth Wink | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 16.7% | 66.9% |
| Jeff Markarian | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.