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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+4.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+0.66vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+4.22vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19+8.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75+1.64vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.74+0.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.51-5.85vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.26-2.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.58-4.65vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.56-2.50vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.25vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.46-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.62Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.0%1st Place
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10.78University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.33Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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14.5McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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16.75Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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18.03Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 24.5% | 23.4% | 7.9% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Oursler | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| James Amaral | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 6.5% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 3.7% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 31.9% | 21.6% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.