← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.21+4.64vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.24+3.59vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.74+4.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.98vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.01+1.47vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21+3.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.58+0.81vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.51+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.60-1.39vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.24-4.60vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.58+0.48vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College1.26+0.82vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.87vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.07vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-4.29vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut0.19-0.51vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University-1.46+1.11vs Predicted
-
18Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.23vs Predicted
-
19McGill University0.56-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.64Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.59Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.33Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.98University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.47Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.12Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.81University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.28Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.61Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.4Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.48Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
12.82Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.93University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.0%1st Place
-
15.49University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
18.11Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
-
16.77Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
14.32McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Oursler | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 24.7% | 21.1% | 8.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 17.3% | 66.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 36.4% | 19.7% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.