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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+5.94vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.46vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+4.56vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+4.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+5.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-2.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.74+1.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-4.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.82-0.65vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-5.60vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.26-0.84vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.18+0.97vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.56-1.65vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50+1.06vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.58-6.83vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.58-11.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.46Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.35Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.16Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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16.6Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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15.97Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.35McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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18.06University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.17Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 5.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 34.6% | 18.3% |
| Ali Dawes | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 29.2% | 13.2% |
| Leslie Beedell | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 65.1% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.