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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.92vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+3.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+3.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74+2.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.74+2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.61vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.82+0.25vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.26+1.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.47vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.56+1.20vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.58-2.74vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.51-7.28vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.18+0.08vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.51vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.50+0.14vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.21-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.4Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.75University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.25Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.34Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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14.2McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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16.08Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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16.49Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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18.14University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 2.6% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Dawes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 27.9% | 13.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 18.9% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.8% | 18.9% | 64.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.