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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+7.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+3.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+5.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.58+6.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.41vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-1.83vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-3.98vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.74-0.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-1.52vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.51-5.68vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.26-1.67vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.56-0.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-6.11vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.18-0.97vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.50+0.16vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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6.83Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.5University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.48Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.33Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.12McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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16.03Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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18.16University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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16.3Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 3.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ali Dawes | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 28.6% | 14.0% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 19.4% | 65.2% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 22.0% | 30.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.