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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+5.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+5.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+2.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+5.68vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51+2.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.84vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-3.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.74-0.67vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-3.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.58-2.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.82-4.34vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.26-3.14vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.25vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50+0.19vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.18-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.33University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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8.89Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.66Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.86Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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15.75Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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17.19University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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15.25Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 22.0% | 35.5% | 19.1% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 68.1% |
| Ali Dawes | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.