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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+4.92vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+5.25vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15+2.92vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.53+0.84vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72+2.39vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland1.00-0.55vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.99vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-3.53vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.49-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.86-5.86vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.72-2.97vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.15-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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2.25University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.84Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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9.39Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.93Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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6.01Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.47Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.99Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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13.03Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.0William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 41.3% | 25.4% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.