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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.23vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.70vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+4.57vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+4.72vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.53+1.58vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.07vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-0.71vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.72+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.86-0.51vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.72+2.29vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-3.94vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.15-4.43vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.45vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-8.44vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.15-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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3.7SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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7.57Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.58Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.93Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.29Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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8.75Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.29Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.06Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.57Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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6.56Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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10.28William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 41.1% | 26.9% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 16.4% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 50.7% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.