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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.21vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+5.38vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+2.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.22vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+3.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15+1.38vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.86+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-0.31vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.53-3.48vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-3.95vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-5.27vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-3.60vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-2.82vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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7.38Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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5.81Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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3.78SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.98Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.38Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.68Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.52Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.05Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.73Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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10.4William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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12.18Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 43.2% | 24.9% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.1% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.