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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University1.49+5.52vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+5.29vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+5.81vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.53+2.46vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.69vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.33vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.86-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-1.18vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.15-3.71vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.35-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.45vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-2.81vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.15-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.29Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.81Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.46Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.69Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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2.31University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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3.67SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.81Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.29Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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7.07Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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12.19Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.28William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 39.9% | 24.7% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.4% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 51.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.