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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+6.48vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.70vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.47+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.86+3.54vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.11vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-0.67vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35-1.01vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.53-2.49vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.15-2.52vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-2.06vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.72+0.31vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.46vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.15-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.7SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.6Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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5.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.33Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.51Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.48Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.94Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.31Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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10.3William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 16.4% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 40.0% | 26.2% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 52.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.