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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.53+5.43vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+5.36vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.73vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49+2.64vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.35+2.14vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51-4.70vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-0.33vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.46vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-5.27vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.72-1.75vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.15-4.72vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.73SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.64Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.14Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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2.3University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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5.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.93Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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6.73Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.25Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.28William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 40.2% | 26.9% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.