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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+5.39vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.74vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49+2.63vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.90vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+2.97vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.50vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.15-3.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-5.32vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.53-6.44vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-3.59vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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7.39Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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3.74SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.63Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.97Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.68Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.56Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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10.41William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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12.22Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 43.5% | 24.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 16.1% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.