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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.77vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.53+4.27vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+5.81vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15+3.62vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49+1.69vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.47+0.76vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.42vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.75-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-7.73vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.52vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.15-4.38vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-4.59vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.72-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.27Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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8.81Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.62Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.69Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.76Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.58Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.93Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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2.27University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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7.62Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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10.41William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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12.17Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.0% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 40.8% | 25.2% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.