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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.10vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+6.04vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35+3.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15+1.86vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.47-0.02vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.15-0.14vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.37-1.75vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.15+0.44vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.63-2.61vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-6.72vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86-5.48vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-4.23vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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8.04Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.42Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.86Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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5.98Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.86Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.25Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.44William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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8.39Syracuse University0.630.0%1st Place
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5.28Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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11.38Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 43.3% | 27.9% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 16.7% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Plisic | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.