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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+4.42vs Predicted
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2Villanova University2.04+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00+3.42vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.06+2.22vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.98vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.48+0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+2.08vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-4.36vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.10vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.34-5.58vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.78-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.58-5.38vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.09-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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3.67Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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6.22Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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9.32Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Pennsylvania1.870.2%1st Place
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7.65William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.64Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.42Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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10.68Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Pennsylvania0.580.0%1st Place
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9.35Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 20.5% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 18.4% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.