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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+4.43vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+4.21vs Predicted
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3Villanova University2.04+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.58+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.00+0.25vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.34-1.57vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.16+1.28vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.78+1.75vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.48-2.20vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-5.10vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.99vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65-8.30vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.09-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.21Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.71Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Pennsylvania0.580.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Pennsylvania1.870.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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5.43Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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9.28Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.75Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.8William and Mary0.480.0%1st Place
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5.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.7Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.37Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 20.1% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 17.4% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.