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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.13vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+4.18vs Predicted
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3Villanova University2.04+0.77vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65+0.62vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.00+0.27vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16+2.31vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34-2.64vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.34-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.58-2.44vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.78-0.33vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.48-4.40vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.09-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Pennsylvania1.870.2%1st Place
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6.18Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.77Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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4.62Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.78Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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9.31Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.36Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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5.36Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Pennsylvania0.580.0%1st Place
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10.67Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.6William and Mary0.480.0%1st Place
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9.39Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Butcher | 17.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 18.3% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.