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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79-0.24vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.81+0.28vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.48-0.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.02-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.27+0.02vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.05-2.31vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.25Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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5.69McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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8.22Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 20.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Nicol | 18.1% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| James Allsopp | 29.1% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Philip Krug | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 16.8% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 36.5% | 18.7% |
| Emerson Krock | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 4.8% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 15.0% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.