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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+8.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+5.00vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+8.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.92vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+3.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+6.55vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.14+1.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.29vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-3.82vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.27-5.92vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.26-4.29vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.13+0.25vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.30-6.95vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-0.73vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.27-4.82vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.78-2.29vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Christopher Newport University0.733.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.798.2%1st Place
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11.84Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.1%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University1.545.2%1st Place
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12.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.4%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University1.145.6%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University1.445.8%1st Place
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5.71University of Pennsylvania2.1610.5%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.0%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University2.2712.8%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University1.267.1%1st Place
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13.25SUNY Maritime College-0.131.5%1st Place
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7.05Webb Institute1.308.0%1st Place
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14.27Washington College-0.551.0%1st Place
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11.18Princeton University0.272.2%1st Place
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14.71University of Virginia-0.780.8%1st Place
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15.04Drexel University-0.850.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Barker | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 9.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 26.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.