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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University2.04+2.75vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+3.44vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.58+2.31vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16+3.38vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.06-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.00-1.72vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.34-3.56vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.02vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.48-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.94vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78-3.06vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.09-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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5.44Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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4.6Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Pennsylvania1.870.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Pennsylvania0.580.1%1st Place
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9.38Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.04Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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5.44Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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5.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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7.69William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.94Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.46Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McMillan | 20.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 12.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.