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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+3.80vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+3.48vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+1.61vs Predicted
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5Villanova University2.04-1.71vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16+1.38vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34-3.20vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.78+0.78vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.09-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.58-4.36vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.61vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.48-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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5.48Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.04Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.61University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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3.29Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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5.27Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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8.38Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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9.78Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.32Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Pennsylvania0.580.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.02William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 24.4% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.