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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+3.82vs Predicted
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2Villanova University2.04+1.21vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.29vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.34+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.58+1.79vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.48+0.93vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-2.95vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.16+0.44vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.78+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.00-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.81vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.09-3.44vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University1.06-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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3.21Villanova University2.040.2%1st Place
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5.29Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.82Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Pennsylvania0.580.0%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.05Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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8.44Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.75Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.56Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.49Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 24.2% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Borjiet | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 16.6% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.