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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.13vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.00+3.60vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.34+1.64vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.06+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+4.16vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.92vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.62-5.00vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.48-3.08vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.16-2.61vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.09-4.50vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.78-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.4%1st Place
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5.64Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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5.64Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.43Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.82Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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6.08Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.0Villanova University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.92William and Mary0.480.0%1st Place
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9.39Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.5Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.99Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 43.6% | 26.8% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 24.7% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.