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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.06+3.90vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.34+2.22vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.68vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65-0.47vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.62-1.42vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.34-1.78vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.48-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.36vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.78+0.03vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.06-6.10vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-4.12vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.09-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
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5.9University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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5.68Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.58Villanova University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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7.18William and Mary0.480.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.03Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.9Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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8.88Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.7Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 45.1% | 28.0% | 15.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hennessey | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.