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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+1.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.06+1.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.93+1.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.70+0.46vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+1.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.33-0.93vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.91+1.92vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.56-0.58vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.06-3.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.79-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Connecticut College2.710.3%1st Place
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3.63Northeastern University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.0Boston University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.46Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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6.92Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.92Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.42University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.75Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.2University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 31.8% | 22.9% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 16.3% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Swanson | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 25.0% | 26.1% |
| Carl Noble | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| Tyler Paige | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.