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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+1.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.70+2.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.33+2.17vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.06-0.22vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+1.94vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.93-5.10vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.82vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.91-3.93vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-5.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.79-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Connecticut College2.710.3%1st Place
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4.33Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.94Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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3.9Boston University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.31University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.18University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.07Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.64Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 31.3% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Margaret Swanson | 14.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carl Noble | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 15.1% |
| Nicole Plona | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 31.7% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 22.6% | 30.6% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 19.5% |
| Tyler Paige | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.