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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.06+2.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+2.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71-0.35vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+3.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.33+0.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.93-2.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.70-3.87vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.77vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.91-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.65Connecticut College2.710.3%1st Place
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7.15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.03Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.88Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
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4.13Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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8.61Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.51University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.23University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.96Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Orchardo | 14.1% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 12.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 29.9% | 24.5% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Swanson | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 19.1% |
| Carl Noble | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 35.5% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.